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Katana September 2025 EOM
October 2, 2025

The Katana Program was down -6.75% for the month. Bitcoin trading opened the month at $108,250 amid lingering summer weakness and historical "Red September" patterns that have seen average losses of -3.77% since 2013. The month began with volatility, dipping to a low of around $107,000 early on before rebounding, driven by early institutional dip-buying and a dovish Federal Reserve rate cut that eased broader financial conditions.

Mid-month, BTC surged to highs just short of $118,000 fueled by renewed ETF inflows. However, a sharp correction ensued back down to test $108,000. By month's end on September 30, Bitcoin closed at $114,600, defying seasonal bearish trends with a choppy volatile recovery. Late-month catalysts included U.S. spot ETF net inflows resuming after the shakeout, alongside a weakening dollar amid government shutdown fears that hinted at further Fed easing. Overall, trading from a trend following price breakout perspective continues to be difficult inside the current ranges.

CHECK OUT PERFORMANCE IN SEPTEMBER 2025
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